Is Willie Mullins in form? Not right now. Over the last 14 days the yard is 4 from 25 (16.0% strike rate) with an A/E of 0.67 and -4.8pts at SP: his runners are winning less often than their odds imply. That is normal for high summer; this yard's season runs November to April.
| Window | Runs | Wins | Strike | A/E | P/L (SP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 14 days | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 0.67 | -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 0.68 | -5.3 |
| Last 90 days | 242 | 36 | 14.9% | 0.68 | -86.1 |
A/E above 1.00 = winning more than market expectation. At 0.68 over 90 days, the market is still pricing reputation rather than current form. Respect the yard; question the price.
| Split | Runs | Wins | Strike | P/L (SP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdles | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | -9.8 |
| Chases | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | -2.5 |
| Flat | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | +9.5 |
| Bumpers | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | -2.0 |
Three data nuggets, one answer worth knowing, and where to watch the weekend's racing. Every Friday. No tips spam, ever.
18+ only. Unsubscribe any time. We never sell your data.
