Updated 02:01Mullins 4 from 25 this fortnight, and the market is still charging March pricesCheltenham 2027 in - days
Fox & Furlong
Home / Methodology

How the numbers are made

If a statistic on this site can't explain itself, it doesn't belong here. This page is the contract.

Data sources

Racecards, results and historical form arrive via a licensed commercial racing data API. Exchange prices come from Betfair. Fixtures and official announcements come from the sport's governing bodies. We never scrape paywalled publications, and we never republish another publisher's editorial content.

Trainer form

Strike rate is wins over runs in the stated window. A/E (actual over expected) compares wins achieved with wins implied by starting prices: above 1.00 means the market underestimated the yard. P/L is calculated to a 1-point level stake at SP. Windows roll daily at 07:30.

Draw bias

We compare each stall group's actual win rate with its market-expected win rate over a ten-year window, split by distance and going. Any cell with fewer than 50 races carries a visible small-sample warning. We'd rather say "unproven" than invent an edge.

Tipster proofing

Public tips are captured with a timestamp at publication, the advised price and bookmaker, then settled at both advised price and Betfair SP. The log is append-only: no retrospective edits, ever. Voids are recorded with reasons. Minimum sample before league placement: 100 tips over 90+ days. Tracked tipsters have a right of reply and a published contact route.

Corrections

Errors happen; hiding them is the sin. Corrections are logged on the affected page with a date and what changed. Independence: no bookmaker, broadcaster or tipster has any editorial input, and we hold no positions in any tipping service we track.

What the timestamps mean

Every data page shows its last refresh. If a page says 07:31 today, the numbers include yesterday's results. If you catch a stale page, tell us: that's a bug, not a shrug.

The Weekend Brief

Three data nuggets, one answer worth knowing, and where to watch the weekend's racing. Every Friday. No tips spam, ever.

18+ only. Unsubscribe any time. We never sell your data.

Prototype build · trainer form and today's board are live from The Racing API, updated 02:01 12 Jul 2026 · draw bias, travel and tipster tables remain sample data